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Buchempfehlungen Coaching

Book Review Thinking in Bets by Annie Duke

Winning and loosing are only loose signals of decision quality.

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Thinking in Bets

  • Separate outcome quality from decision quality
  • Separate luck from skill
  • Quality of life = Σ of our decision quality + luck
  • Resulting – change the strategy just because a few hands didn’t turn out well in the short run
  • Results are beyond our control
  • „Hindsight bias“ – „I should have seen it coming“
  • Type I error = false positive
  • Type II error = false negative